Hillary will be the next president,
and the Final Four in college football
will be undefeated
What good are the polls? Almost a virtual zero. Just as the
pollsters convinced Americans that Hillary Clinton would be the next President
of the United States, college football experts—again!—overrated several power
five conference teams. Last week, eight of the Top 25 squads in the AP poll
went down, including three of the top four. Of the top four, three—Clemson,
Michigan, and Washington—all were beaten by unranked teams.
And the bookies in Vegas mopped up.
The BCS Final Four ratings (aka Flavor of the Week) at this
point in the season are premature and mean nothing. They’re just another poll
to add to the polls to give commentators something to comment on—and on and
on—until a final decision is made at the end of the season. Major conference
champs and possible a wild card will tee it up for the big prize at year’s end.
About the only solid bet this season seems to be Alabama.
The Tide may face a challenge from Auburn in the Iron Bowl, but it’s unlikely.
And the Eastern Division of the SEC doesn’t appear to have a squad that will be
competitive in the conference final. A beat-up Florida team is the likely
winner, but Tennessee has a chance if they can win out, and if Florida loses
one more conference game, but Tennessee has already lost to ‘Bama—bad.
Alabama is the best bet as national champ.
1 comment:
With respect to polls and so on - "Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful." --- Box, George E. P.; Norman R. Draper (1987). Empirical Model-Building and Response Surfaces, p. 424, Wiley. ISBN 0471810339.
I expect that is the proper way to think about the prodigious amount of prognostication and guidance we all receive on virtually every subject imaginable.
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